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Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Euro slips below 1.3100, Spain eyed - NASDAQ

FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The dollar is stronger versus most competitors while stocks are lower as corrective pressures continue. The euro dropped below 1.3100 after the release of the September ZEW survey in Germany.

Meanwhile, the Aussie is among the worst performers after latest RBA minutes came in more dovish than expected. The yen is also under pressure ahead of the BoJ policy meeting tomorrow. Sterling has held on to its gains above 1.6200 after UK CPI came in at expectations of 2.5% YoY.

Concerns about Spain weigh on markets

Global stocks were mostly in the red, with the Stoxx Europe 600 down 0.4% and eurozone periphery spreads to Germany bunds widened for a second consecutive day amid cautious over Spain, as Madrid remains reluctant to seek help from the euro zone's rescue funds, which is a prerequisite for the bond-buying program outlined earlier this month by the European Central Bank.

In Economic news, the German ZEW index came in slightly above expectations at -18.2 up from -25.5. The current conditions were softer however at 12.6, vs consensus 17.7. UBS economics notes that "the slight improvement in ZEW index may be taken as another sign that lead indicators are bottoming, although the number was positively influenced by ECB/ESM decisions".

In Wall Street, futures point for a lower opening. US stocks ended lower Monday, marking the first losing session in five, after reaching multiyear highs last week.

In US data, the economic calendar features Q2 current account data at 12:30GMT. A home builders' index for September is scheduled for release at 14:00GMT.

Gold fell 0.5% to $1,761.50 an ounce, while crude oil futures extended losses, dropping 0.7% to $95.92 a barrel after losing about 4% the previous day.

Euro falls below 1.3100

The shared-currency slipped below the 1.3100 mark during the European session, extending a pullback from a 4-month high of 1.3172 scored on Monday.

"For the short term, the pair has set a double top around 1.3170, with the neckline at yesterday's low of 1.3080: as long as this last caps the upside now, the pair has scope to slide towards the 1.3000/20 price zone", says Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXstreet.com.

Meanwhile, on a longer-term view, the Danske Bank team argues that the euro-downtrend has come to an end. "We expect the Fed to be successful in changing market expectations and anticipate that investors will continue to add dollar-funded carry positions on the currency market", they say. "This should trigger further dollar weakness and not least against the strongest high yielders".

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.

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