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Tuesday, September 18, 2012

FOREX-Euro slips from 4-month high on Spain uncertainty - Reuters

Wed Sep 19, 2012 1:07am IST

  * Spanish yields trade near 6 pct      * German ZEW slightly better than expected      * Speculation BOJ may ease policy weighs on yen        NEW YORK, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The euro slipped against the  dollar for a second straight day on Tuesday as some investors  bet that the currency had risen too far, too fast a day after it  touched a four-month high, given a renewed focus on debt-laden  Spain.      Pressure is growing on Spain to request aid and trigger a  European Central Bank bond-buying program, something seen as  inevitable to help the country finance its debts, with benchmark  10-year Spanish bond yields rising to just over 6 percent.      Spain's deputy prime minister, Soraya Saenz de Santamaria,  said on Tuesday the government was still considering the terms  of a European bailout, a condition of ECB help. The remarks  weighed further on investors' patience.          The euro has risen some 8 percent since hitting a two-year  low around $1.2040 in July, fueled by aggressive central bank  actions in both Europe and the United States to help their  struggling economies. That euphoria, however, is starting to  wear off.      Even if Spain does request assistance, analysts say doing so  may not be a positive sign for the euro as the tough spending  cuts that come with the aid would put further pressure on an  economy already in recession.      "You are looking at a Spanish economy that has 25 percent  unemployment and a huge overhang of residential mortgages," said  Lane Newman, director of foreign exchange trading at ING Capital  Markets in New York. "Even if you write a lot of those down, you  are still talking about fiscal austerity, so you can't grow your  way out of arguably a recession."       The euro fell 0.6 percent to $1.3038, with traders  reporting selling by Europeans. It hit a high of $1.3169 on  Reuters data on Monday, the highest level since May 4. Option  barriers were seen around $1.32.       The single currency failed to react to a slightly  better-than-expected German ZEW survey of analyst and investor  sentiment showing a rise in September after four months of  decline.       The euro fell 0.4 percent against the yen to trade at 102.80  yen, having rallied to a four-month high on Monday.      The dollar climbed back in afternoon New York trade to rise  0.2 percent against the yen to 78.85 yen, just off the  session peak of 78.87 yen. It rose as high as 78.92 yen on  Monday on buying by speculative accounts such as hedge funds,  traders said. It hit a seven-month low of 77.11 yen last  Thursday.       Speculation is growing that the Bank of Japan might loosen  policy following a policy meeting on Wednesday after the U.S.  Federal Reserve launched a fresh round of monetary stimulus last  week.      "We expect the Bank of Japan to increase its asset-buying  fund by 5 trillion yen ($63 billion). If it does, the dollar  might have a chance to break resistance around 79.50 yen.  Alternatively, if it doesn't, the dollar will fall below 78  yen," said Osamu Takashima, chief Japan FX strategist at  Citibank in Tokyo.       The Australian dollar slipped 0.3 percent to $1.0439,  pressured by worries that slower growth in China would put the  brakes on Australia's mining boom.  

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